Mexican Peso Under Pressure Amid Multiple Risks

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The Mexican Peso continued its downward trajectory on Thursday, driven by a combination of factors, including threats from former US President Donald Trump, a slowdown

The Mexican Peso continued its downward trajectory on Thursday, driven by a combination of factors, including threats from former US President Donald Trump, a slowdown in economic activity, political risks, and deteriorating consumer confidence.

The release of stronger-than-expected US retail sales data further fueled the rally in USD/MXN, pushing it closer to the key psychological barrier of 20.00.

Key Factors Weighing on the Peso:

  • Trump’s Threats: Donald Trump’s threat to impose tariffs on Mexican auto imports has negatively impacted the Peso.
  • IMF Forecast: The IMF’s forecast of a slowdown in Mexican economic growth has contributed to the Peso’s weakness.
  • Political Risks: Political instability and the controversial judicial reform have also weighed on the Peso.
  • Consumer Confidence: Deteriorating consumer confidence has further dampened the Peso’s outlook.

Expected Rate Cuts: The Bank of Mexico is anticipated to cut interest rates multiple times before the end of the year, which could further weaken the Peso.

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