The Pound Sterling (GBP) surged towards the critical 1.2700 resistance during early New York trading, fueled by anticipation ahead of Wednesday’s UK Spring budget announcement. Chancellor Jeremy Hunt faces a delicate balancing act between addressing inflation, growth concerns, and potential tax cuts.
Market hopes for early Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts could hinge on the scope of announced tax measures. Limited tax cuts may boost these hopes, potentially pressuring the pound. However, significant unfunded stimulus risks fueling persistent inflation. Mixed sentiment ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s testimony and crucial US economic data this week offer a temporary respite for the dollar.
Today’s focus turns to the US S&P Global and ISM Services PMIs, set for release at 14:45 GMT and 15:00 GMT. Traders are closely watching for a decisive break above the Descending Triangle pattern on the daily chart, which could trigger a strong upward move for the GBP.